Vol. 78 No. 1 (2023)
Research Articles

Food security beyond global warming: economic and policy perspectives from Uganda

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  • Chiara Perelli,
  • Giacomo Branca
Chiara Perelli
Department of Economics, Engineering, Society and Business Organization (DEIM), Tuscia University
Giacomo Branca
Department of Economics, Engineering, Society and Business Organization (DEIM), Tuscia University
DOI: https://doi.org/10.36253/rea-13583

Published 2023-09-26

Keywords

  • climate change,
  • food and nutrition security,
  • smallholder farming,
  • generalized ordered regression,
  • East Africa

How to Cite

Perelli, C., & Branca, G. (2023). Food security beyond global warming: economic and policy perspectives from Uganda. Italian Review of Agricultural Economics (REA), 78(1), 17–32. https://doi.org/10.36253/rea-13583

Copyright (c) 2023 Chiara Perelli, Giacomo Branca

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Abstract

Climate change has severe and pervasive impacts on natural systems and affects many aspects of human life. Increasing temperatures and alterations in the regimes of precipitations are adding pressure to global agricultural systems, which are already struggling to respond to expanding global demand for food. This directly translates into additional risks for poor people living in developing countries who already face precarious food security conditions. Focusing on the case of Uganda and using household data from the National Panel Survey merged with climatic data from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, this paper explores the link between climate change and households’ food insecurity. By applying a generalized ordered logit model, this work provides quantitative evidence about the impact of climate variability on food and nutrition security of clustered food consumption groups of smallholder farmers. Among the different socio-economic and environmental variables affecting the households’ food security conditions, time and cross-sectional variations in the regime of precipitations play a crucial role. The results highlight that adaptation programmes aimed to reduce climate-induced food insecurity and improve coping abilities of rural communities should be site-specific and involve local communities with the aim of considering the specific risk exposure of the different agro-ecological areas.

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